Manager of US Forecasting, Obesity

Role Summary

The Forecasting team at Amgen plays a pivotal role as a strategic partner to Commercial leadership, offering data-backed insights crucial for driving commercial success. As a Senior Manager of US Forecasting, you will contribute significantly to the Obesity pipeline assets, executing and managing discussions with brand leads. The individual in this role will need to skillfully influence and challenge a diverse set of stakeholders from Commercial, R&D, Medical, Finance, Manufacturing, Access, and Pricing/Contracting, while proficiently understanding the nuances of the particular disease area of interest and markets they support. This role reports to the Director of Forecasting and operates within the broader framework of Commercial Data & Analytics (CD&A).

Responsibilities

• Advanced Forecasting Techniques:
  • Ability to build detailed and advanced forecast model (patient, Rx, sales, Rx Based, etc.) projecting units and revenue for obesity pipeline products by indication/regions
  • Utilize advanced simulation models (e.g., Monte Carlo analysis, statistical trending) to quantify uncertainty
  • Leverage diverse pharmaceutical data sources and their nuances to enhance forecasting approaches and methodologies
• Market Analysis and Competitor Intelligence:
  • Analyze competitors and market dynamics to inform forecasting models and strategic decisions
  • Develop an objective brand strategy by integrating insights across multiple functions and capability areas
• Collaboration and Stakeholder Engagement:
  • Act as the key point of contact for brand leads, engaging them in forecasting deliverables
  • Facilitate discussions and build consensus among stakeholders to establish clear and rigorous worldwide sales expectations for pipeline assets
• Strategic Insights and Recommendations:
  • Support leadership in identifying actionable strategies to maximize Commercial potential, prioritizing risks and opportunities
  • Provide informed recommendations on product development continuation or discontinuation based on market conditions, financial projections, and strategic goals
• Communication and Presentation:
  • Develop and deliver transparent presentations that articulate key variables in the forecast, ensuring comprehensive understanding for decision-makers
  • Utilize communication and interpersonal skills to influence leadership on recommended courses of action
• Collaboration with CD&A:
  • Collaborate with the broader CD&A organization to integrate comprehensive insights and analytics knowledge into forecast development
  • Enhance the depth and accuracy of forecasts by leveraging a broad spectrum of insights across the organization
• Process Optimization:
  • Drive productivity and efficiency by streamlining forecasting processes where possible

Qualifications

• Required: Doctorate degree
• Required: Master’s degree and 2 years of experience in Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, and/or supply chain management
• Required: Bachelor’s degree and 4 years of experience in Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, and/or supply chain management
• Required: Associate’s degree and 8 years of experience in Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, and/or supply chain management
• Required: High school diploma / GED and 10 years of experience in Pharma/Biotech forecasting, demand planning, and/or supply chain management
• Preferred: Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence ED/VP level staff
• Preferred: Knowledge and experience working with industry internal and secondary data sources; experience doing analog and uptake curve analysis
• Preferred: Proficiency in advanced forecasting techniques, statistical modeling, and data analysis
• Preferred: Highly skilled in working collaboratively in a team-based environment and gaining alignment across an organization
• Preferred: High level of proficiency in Excel, PowerPoint, Word
• Preferred: Excellent communication skills with the ability to present complex data and insights to both technical and non-technical stakeholders
• Preferred: Ability to interpret and analyze data trends, identify patterns, and make data-driven decisions
• Preferred: Experience in contributing to the development of long-term business plans based on forecasting insights
• Preferred: Flexible Commuter role to Thousand Oaks office. You will work on-site 3 days a week.

Additional Requirements

• Flexible Commuter role to Thousand Oaks office. You will work on-site 3 days a week.