CD&A - Director of Commercial Forecasting, Obesity

Role Summary

CD&A - Director of Commercial Forecasting, Obesity. Leads forecasting efforts for Amgen’s Obesity business unit, overseeing a team of full-time Amgen employees and partnering with Commercial leadership to provide strategic guidance and data-backed insights that shape future strategies.

Responsibilities

• Primary point of contact for senior Therapeutic Area leaders to develop data/insight driven short-term and long-term forecasts for brands within the Obesity Unit
• Prepare and present portfolio-level forecast updates for senior leadership
• Facilitate consensus-building among senior collaborators to establish clear, transparent sales expectations for portfolio assets and gain alignment for forecast assumptions
• Identify actionable strategies to improve commercial potential by prioritizing risks and opportunities
• Analyze competitors and market dynamics to inform forecasting models and strategic decisions
• Develop an objective portfolio strategy by integrating insights across products, functions, and capability areas
• Influence leadership on recommended courses of action through effective communication
• Quantify uncertainty using scenario planning and advanced simulation models
• Utilize diverse pharmaceutical data sources and their nuances to enhance forecasting approaches
• Create and deliver presentations that clearly articulate key forecast variables for decision-making partners
• Collaborate with the broader CD&A organization to integrate insights and analytics knowledge into forecast development
• Drive productivity and efficiency by streamlining forecasting processes where possible

Qualifications

• Required: Doctorate degree and 4 years of forecasting experience in biopharma/biotechnology/pharmaceutical
• Required: OR Master’s degree and 7 years of forecasting experience in biopharma/biotechnology/pharmaceutical
• Required: OR Bachelor’s degree and 9 years of forecasting experience in biopharma/biotechnology/pharmaceutical
• Preferred: Leadership experience in building and developing teams
• Preferred: Ability to quickly establish credibility with and influence EVP/SVP/VP level staff
• Preferred: Alignment of teams to standard processes and championing innovative methodologies and tools
• Preferred: Business acumen to understand pharmaceutical markets for relevant disease areas
• Preferred: Partnership with business leaders to deliver high-quality predictions guiding decisions
• Preferred: Strong oral, written, and presentation skills to explain complex concepts to diverse audiences

Skills

• Forecasting methodologies and statistical analysis
• Scenario planning and Monte Carlo simulation
• Data analytics and integration of multiple data sources (eg, LAAD, National Audit Rx, Xponent, epidemiology data)
• Strategic thinking and portfolio planning
• Effective communication and stakeholder influence
• Market and competitive dynamics analysis

Education

• Doctorate, Master’s, or Bachelor’s degree in biopharma/biotechnology/pharmaceutical field or related discipline

Additional Requirements

• Flexible commuter role to Thousand Oaks, CA; on-site 2–3 days a week